The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in September is 89.4%, and the probability of cutting by 50 basis points is 10.6%.

According to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September is 89.4%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is 10.6%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by the Fed in October is 14.9%, the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 76.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 75 basis point cut is 8.9%.