The address that bet on the US invading Cuba in 2026 has already lost approximately $31,000.

CoinFeed reported on March 18 that, according to Lookonchain, a trader created a new wallet and placed approximately $57,500 bets on the prediction market Polymarket that "the United States will invade Cuba in 2026," at one point pushing the probability of this event to over 80%. As of now, the bet has a floating loss of approximately $31,000.