Bernstein predicts that the forecasting market will reach $1 trillion by 2030.

CoinFeed reported on April 15th, citing CNBC, that analysts at Wall Street brokerage Bernstein predict the prediction market will reach approximately $1 trillion in trading volume by 2030. In the first few months of 2026, the two major platforms, Kalshi and Polymarket, already achieved approximately $60 billion in trading volume, exceeding the $51 billion for the entire year of 2025. Kalshi currently controls over 90% of the US prediction market share, with weekly trading volume surging from approximately $100 million a year ago to over $3 billion. Bernstein projects that the total prediction market trading volume will reach $240 billion in 2026, a 370% increase from last year. Analysts predict that the institutional market will revolve around economic, commercial, and political contracts, while sports contracts, currently accounting for over 60% of trading volume, will halve by 2030.